Ray Hawthorne

Tropical Disturbance Likely to Develop Near Florida This Weekend

By Ray Hawthorne

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UPDATE THURSDAY 5 PM: The National Hurricane Center began issuing advisories on what they call Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine (or “PTC Nine”). This nomenclature is used when a system is likely to produce tropical storm conditions near land - in this case, the Bahamas - but has yet to be officially classified as a tropical storm. PTC Nine was located 310 miles south of Freeport on Grand Bahama Island, per the 5 pm update. The disturbance was moving northwest at 8 mph.

Dorian's Eye Wall Nearing the Coast of South Carolina

By Ray Hawthorne

Hurricane Dorian Alerts

11 PM Update: The eyewall of Hurricane Dorian is now parallel to the North Carolina coastline. Moderate to heavy rain is still falling over the Pee Dee and will eventually taper off early Friday morning. As of the latest information from the National Hurricane Center, Dorian is holding on as a category 2 hurricane. Maximum winds are still 100 mph and pressure has fallen to 958 mb. Storm motion has picked up just a bit and is now to the NE at 13 mph.   The center of the eye is about 35 miles southeast of Wilmington NC.

Hurricane Warnings continue; Dorian effects increasing later tonight

By Ray Hawthorne

Hurricane and Tropical Storm Warnings

Updated 1:20 pm Wednesday:  Maximum sustained winds are still at 105mph, but Dorian could flucuate in intensity over the Gulf Stream. The latest measurement of minimum central pressure is still at 963 mb and the storm is moving NNW at 9 mph, according to the Tuesday 11 am update from the National Hurricane Center.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

HURRICANE WARNING in effect for Beaufort, Berkeley, Georgetown and Horry counties.

Powerful Hurricane Dorian Expected to Turn North Toward South Carolina

By Ray Hawthorne

Hurricane Dorian Forecast Cone

A significant change in the weather pattern that is steering Dorian is increasing the risk of at least some effects from the powerful hurricane in South Carolina later next week.

The storm continues as a powerful category 4 hurricane. Seasonably warm ocean temperatures and light wind shear — both of which are normally needed for intense hurricanes — are expected to fuel the storm for several more days.

Dorian Expected to Rapidly Intensify

By Ray Hawthorne

Hurricane Dorian Forecast Cone

Dorian strengthened to a category 2 storm Thursday night and forecasters say it’s expected to become a powerful category 4 hurricane this weekend as it draws closer to Florida.

The government of the Bahamas issued a Hurricane Watch for the northwestern Bahamas in advance of the hurricane’s arrival there Sunday and Sunday night.

Dorian Strengthening North of Puerto Rico

By Ray Hawthorne

Hurricane Dorian Forecast Cone

Hurricane Dorian has strengthened late Wednesday night. As of 5 am, The National Hurricane Center says Dorian is about 150 miles north of San Juan, Puerto Rico and has top sustained winds near 85 mph. It is moving toward the northwest at about 13 mph.

Multiple reports of hurricane-force winds occurred near St. Thomas, as Dorian crossed the Virgin Islands Wednesday afternoon.

Dorian strengthening as it heads toward Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands

By Ray Hawthorne

Tropical Storm Dorian Forecast Cone

Tropical Storm Dorian has strengthened overnight as it steadily approaches Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. There is still uncertainty in the future path and intensity of the storm, but trends in the computer models are toward a stronger storm as it approaches the Southeast U.S. coastline Sunday or Monday.

Neither Tropical Storm Dorian or Tropical Depression Six are a Current Threat to South Carolina

By Ray Hawthorne

Tropical Storm Dorian Forecast Cone

Two tropical systems are churning through the Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea in the weeks leading up to the climatological peak of the hurricane season: Tropical Storm Dorian and Tropical Depression Six.

Tropical Storm Dorian was moving through the Windward Islands Tuesday morning, and as of the 11 am advisory from the National Hurricane Center, was producing winds up to 50 mph. A Hurricane Watch has been issued for Puerto Rico and the eastern third of the Dominican Republic.

Tropical Storm Dorian Headed for the Caribbean

By Ray Hawthorne

Tropical Storm Dorian Forecast Cone

Tropical Storm Dorian is moving steadily westward toward the Caribbean.

As of midday Monday, Tropical Storm Dorian was located 135 miles east-southeast of Barbados, and moving west-northwest at 14 mph. Tropical storm conditions are expected to arrive in the Windward Islands Monday evening, and the storm could become a hurricane over the northeast Caribbean by Tuesday evening.  

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