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April 2014 - Winthrop Poll Released

The latest Winthrop Poll was released today that surveyed 877 South Carolinians from April 6-13th.

Since the last general population poll in October, Sen. Lindsey Graham's approval numbers have increased slightly to 42.8% of all respondents and 39.6% of registered voters. But, as the poll states: "While Graham’s disapproval rating among registered voters is higher than his approval rating with the same group (43.8% disapproval vs. 39.6% approval), Poll Director Scott Huffmon cautioned that the difference between the two is just at the margin of error for the registered voter sample."

South Carolina's Junior Senator Tim Scott received a 43.1% approval rating from all respondents and registered voters. The poll also states: "43.1% is not low when put in the context that Scott’s approval among all respondents is 25.5 percentage points above his disapproval. The only real interesting factor is that more than a third of respondents still don’t know enough about Sen. Scott to form an opinion even as he readies to run for his first Senate election."

Other notable results from the poll:

  • Governor Haley's approval ratings of registered voters is 10% higher than her disapproval and of everyone survived her ratings are almost 15% higher.
  • Over 90% of all respondents and registered voters do not consider themselves part of the tea party. The poll notes: "Before you consider the Tea Party membership numbers small, please consider that 5.6% of registered voters translates to 158,223 people who consider themselves MEMBERS of the Tea Party. That is not an insignificant number."

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Study Shows Improvements to S.C. Elections

Originally posted on PalmettoScene.org

The Pew Charitable Trust’s State and Consumer Initiatives Program published a report on Tuesday which revealed a significant increase in “the number of states that offered online registration, the number of states conducting post-election audits, and the number of states that offer a transparent look at the data they collect,” according to The Washington Post.

For South Carolina, the data shows improvements in S.C. elections from 2008 to 2012.

The states with the most improvement year after year, were adamant about the use of technology during the election process so that it may run more efficiently. From evaluating absentee and provisional ballots to hurrying people through lines, the improved states can more often monitor their efficiency and better improve areas that are less efficient.

View the full Elections Performance Index at the Pew Charitable Trust’s State and Consumer Initiatives Program.

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February 2014 Winthrop Poll Released

Originally posted on PalmettoScene.org

The newest Winthrop Poll was released today and one of the questions focused on the upcoming U.S. Senate Republican Primary. The poll surveyed 901 likely Republican Primary voters during the week of February 16 – 23, 2014

  • Sen. Lindsey Graham, South Carolina’s senior senator, received 45% when asked who you would vote for if the election was held today.
  • State Senator Lee Bright came in after Graham, with 8.5% of the vote; while 34% are still undecided.

Poll Director Scott Huffmon stated in the findings:

“While U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham’s level of support is 45%, he is not in “real trouble” simply because his share is below the 50% run-off threshold. The vast majority of undecided could be distributed to the other candidates and, assuming Graham gets some share, it could easily be enough to put him over 50%.”

“However, Huffmon said, the fact that S.C.’s senior senator does not have significantly higher than the threshold means this race is not “completely safe” for him, either. While his support among those who approve of the Tea Party is roughly 25% lower than his support among the likely GOP primary voters as a whole, Graham still garners roughly a third of their support. While Tea Party-approving voters like Graham much less than all likely voters, it is simply not accurate to say all Tea Party-friendly voters are aligned against him.”

As for the other announced candidates, Nancy Mace received 3.5%, Bill Connor received 3.7%, and Richard Cash received 2.9%.

The primary election will take place on June 10, 2014.

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